Bitcoin can still hit $160K by Christmas with ‘average’ Q4 comeback
Bitcoin price weakness has good odds of flipping “positive yet less volatile” in the coming months, new research said.
- Bitcoin can reverse its latest slump to hit new all-time highs in the next four months, based on historical performance.
- Research says that the outlook for Bitcoin between now and Christmas is “positive yet less volatile.”
- The current dip may be “frontrunning” traditional September BTC price downside.
Bitcoin may be looking at average gains of 44% by Christmas as analysts play down the impact of a deeper BTC price correction.
Research from network economist Timothy Peterson, released on X this week, predicted “positive” performance for BTC/USD in Q4.
Bitcoin analysis plays with $160,000 target
Bitcoin traditionally sees its weakest gains in September, a month that BTC/USD has never finished more than 8% higher.
“Exactly Four Months Until Christmas. How does Bitcoin fare during this time? Up 70% of the time. Average gain +44%,” he summarized.
That average upside would put Bitcoin at $160,000 by the last week of 2025, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed.
Peterson acknowledged that such expectations are more a guideline than a rule, with various nonconformant years over Bitcoin’s lifetime.
“However, I think some years do not have market/economic conditions comparable to 2025. I would exclude 2018, 2022, 2020, and 2017 as uncharacteristic years,” he concluded.
Bitcoin “frontrunning” standard September blues
Others are unfazed by the current BTC price weakness, which has seen the lowest levels since early July return this week.