State of Crypto: What Congress Has Left to Do This Year

There is not a lot of time left for Congress to make meaningful progress this year on crypto issues.

The restarted Senate is moving forward with certain crypto initiatives, but how much time is left compared to how much work is left, really?

Less than 40 Days

The narrative

Now that Congress is back from the government shutdown, all eyes are on how it will proceed on crypto issues. There are a few components to this: Mike Selig’s nomination to run the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, market structure legislation and other crypto matters.

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Wall St Week Ahead Black Friday puts focus on consumer spending for rocky markets
  • Holiday shopping season to give read on health of consumer
  • Wavering stock market could weigh on shopping
  • Delayed US retail sales report due on Tuesday

With U.S. stocks in the midst of a grim month, investors will look in the coming week for signs of strength in the U.S. consumer with Black Friday putting the spotlight on the holiday shopping season.
The rally in stocks has stalled in November, with the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX), declining more than 4% so far during the month. Strong quarterly results from semiconductor giant Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O), failed on Thursday to calm markets, which have been rattled by concerns about elevated valuations and questions about returns on massive corporate investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure.

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No recession risk for US economy as a whole after $11 billion shutdown hit, Bessent says
  • Bessent says inflation due to services economy, not tariffs
  • Treasury secretary says Republicans should end filibuster in event of another shutdown
  • Bessent says administration working to lower prices where it can

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Sunday said the 43-day government shutdown caused an $11 billion permanent hit to the U.S. economy, but he was optimistic about growth prospects next year given easing interest rates and tax cuts.

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Bitcoin Rebounds From ‘Extreme Oversold’ Levels; XRP Jumps 7%, ZEC Surges 14%

Bitcoin and major altcoins bounced Sunday after an oversold RSI reading and more than $200M in liquidations signaled seller exhaustion amid thin weekend liquidity.

  • Bitcoin rebounded after hitting extreme oversold levels on the RSI, a zone that previously preceded short-term recoveries.
  • More than $206 million in weekend liquidations and thinning liquidity pointed to seller exhaustion.
  • XRP and ZEC led gains among major altcoins, with ZEC extending one of the strongest year-to-date rallies in crypto.

Crypto markets climbed Sunday as Bitcoin flashed an extreme oversold signal and more than $200 million in liquidations helped ease selling pressure across major tokens.

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Shipping giant CMA CGM resumes Russia trade with food cargo

French-based CMA CGM, the world’s third-largest container shipping line, has resumed limited services to Russia, notably to transport food, three years after withdrawing from the country following its invasion of Ukraine, the company said.

Like other Western firms, CMA CGM halted its activities in Russia, stopping its shipping services and also divesting stakes held in port terminals.

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Babcock’s frigate contract bids heading ‘in right direction’ as profit jumps
  • Half-year underlying operating profit up 19%
  • Raises interim dividend 25%
  • CEO says bids for Sweden, Denmark and Indonesia frigates
  • Bids going ‘in right direction’
  • Shares close 1.8% higher

British engineering company Babcock (BAB.L), said its bids for building frigates for Sweden, Denmark and Indonesia were going in the “right direction”, after it reported a 19% jump in first-half profit and forecast further growth this year.
In a statement late on Friday, the British government said it had reached a 4 billion pound ($5.24 billion) deal with Indonesia, led by Babcock, to jointly develop maritime capability for the Southeast Asian country’s navy and more than 1,000 vessels for its fishing fleets

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Advocacy group proposes DeFi solutions to address global poverty

The DeFi Education Fund estimated that decentralized finance technology could potentially save people up to $30 billion annually by reducing remittance costs.

The DeFi Education Fund, an advocacy organization focused on decentralized finance, has proposed utilizing the technology to reduce costs, aiming to address poverty in the United States and globally.

In a Wednesday blog post, the group said DeFi infrastructure could potentially save unbanked and underbanked people around the world about $30 billion annually through reducing remittance costs. The organization cited examples of workers sending funds home and paying fees to do so, which could be reduced “by up to 80%” with DeFi.

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Fed Rate Cut Odds Plunge Further on Jobs Data Delays

Traders slash chances of a December cut to 33% as the Fed loses a key data point ahead of its final 2025 meeting.

  • The BLS said that the October employment report will scrapped due to the government shutdown and the November jobs numbers won’t be released until after the Fed’s December meeting.
  • The odds of a December Fed rate cut — nearly 100% as recently as three weeks ago — tumbled further to just 33%.
  • U.S. stocks gave up large early gains and crypto prices fell further as the news hit.
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Bitcoin Slips Back Below $90K — Crypto Correction Now Ranks Among Worst Since 2017, K33 Says

After a rare spot of outperformance on Tuesday, bitcoin has resumed sliding, with one analyst eyeing $84,000–$86,000 as potential local bottom.

  • Bitcoin fell below $90,000, losing 4.2% during early U.S. trading hours on Wednesday, while ether dropped 6% to under $3,000.
  • Crypto-related equities more than mirrored the decline, with Strategy (MSTR), BitMine (BMNR) and Circle (CRCL) booking 8%-9% selloffs.
  • Bitcoin’s current slide from its early October record at $126,000 ranks among the steepest 43-day drawdowns since 2017, K33’s research head said.

The big news Tuesday was crypto not just posting gains, but also rising even as U.S. stocks sold off. That outperformance has been rare for what seems like months, with bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies watching from the sidelines as major stock market averages made new record highs on a regular basis.

Sadly for the bulls, though, normality has returned just 24 hours later, with bitcoin tumbling 4% back below $90,000 even as U.S. stocks manage gains. Ethereum’s ether slid 6.5% to below $3,000.

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New Hampshire Awaits Bitcoin Bond Buyer to Get First State Effort Rolling

The New Hampshire Business Finance Authority took the opening steps toward shepherding a potential $100 million private-sector bitcoin bond.

  • The New Hampshire Business Finance Authority, an organization meant to boost the state’s economy, made the first big maneuver to stand up a $100 million bitcoin bond.
  • While the bond is initiated by the state entity, it would be backed and managed by a private-sector partner, assuming one comes forward.
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